Wednesday, May 4, 2016


For those Donald Trump supporters looking for some good polling news, there's at least one poll out there giving Trump a real shot against Hillary Clinton in November. A newRasmussen poll of Likely U.S. Voters found Trump edging ahead of Clinton, 41 percent to 39 percent, with Trump pulling in 15 percent of Democrats in the increasingly likely matchup. 
Back in March, the same poll found Clinton holding the lead over Trump by 5 points, 41/36, but the Republican frontrunner made up the difference and then some this week, taking a 2-point lead for the first time since October. When asked who they'd select if they couldn't just sit out the election, Trump came out with a slight lead (last week, 6 percent told Rasmussen they'd skip the vote if given the option). Fifteen percent of the 1,0000 respondents said they prefer some other candidate, while five percent remained undecided.
Perhaps the most interesting detail from the poll is that Trump was able to win the support of 15 percent of Democrats, while Clinton only managed to pull in 8 percent of Republicans in the head-to-head. Trump also beat her among Independents, 37/31, while 23 percent preferred another candidate and 9 percent were undecided. 
Clinton, however, held the lead in party loyalty, with 77 percent of Democrats backing her, compared to Trump's 73 percent of Republicans.
Rasmussen's results are an outlier among some of the more widely respected national polls.RealClearPolitics' summary of the averages found Clinton leading in most of the polls by anywhere from 3 to 11 points.

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